Manila: Eleven party-list groups are poised to win seats in the House of Representatives in the May 12 elections, according to the results of OCTA Research’s March 2025 Tugon ng Masa (TNM) survey released Monday. The survey results indicate a competitive race among various party-list groups aiming for representation in the upcoming elections.

According to Philippines News Agency, the survey, conducted from March 18 to 24, showed that the Anti-Crime and Terrorism Community Involvement and Support (ACT-CIS) party-list ranked first with 8.70 percent voter preference. Following ACT-CIS, Tingog garnered 5.77 percent, and 4PS (Pagtibayin at Palaguin and Pangkabuhayan Pilipino) attained 5.40 percent, each projected to secure three congressional seats.

Ako Bicol, with 4.20 percent support, is also likely to obtain three seats. Meanwhile, Senior Citizens and Galing sa Puso (GP) are expected to earn two seats each, having received 3.70 percent and 3.14 percent support, respectively. The survey highlights these groups as major contenders in the party-list elections.

Rounding out the top 11 are Duterte Youth (2.87 percent), Tupad (2.36 percent), Malasakit@Bayanihan (2.33 percent), Ang Probinsyano (2.12 percent), and FPJ Panday Bayanihan (2.03 percent). Each of these groups is projected to secure two congressional seats by obtaining one guaranteed seat in the first round and an additional seat in the second round.

OCTA noted that all 11 party-list groups garnered more than 2 percent support from the respondents, a critical threshold for gaining representation. The non-commissioned survey, conducted with 1,200 respondents aged 18 and above, had a ±3% margin of error at a 95 percent confidence level.

The survey assessed voter preferences for 155 accredited party-list groups. To earn a guaranteed seat in the House of Representatives, a party-list must receive at least 2 percent of the total votes cast in the party-list race. Groups may gain up to two additional seats based on a proportional allocation system.